Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.000617 0.000743 0.000882 0.001047 0.001234 0.001441 0.001686
2025-08-03 0.000453 0.000619 0.000821 0.001080 0.001400 0.001780 0.002259
2025-08-10 0.000367 0.000550 0.000788 0.001111 0.001532 0.002054 0.002741
2025-08-17 0.000274 0.000450 0.000694 0.001045 0.001525 0.002146 0.002993
2025-08-24 0.000211 0.000379 0.000626 0.001000 0.001533 0.002246 0.003251
2025-08-31 0.000171 0.000334 0.000586 0.000985 0.001576 0.002391 0.003568
2025-09-07 0.000141 0.000296 0.000552 0.000973 0.001617 0.002531 0.003882
2025-09-14 0.000114 0.000261 0.000515 0.000952 0.001642 0.002645 0.004161
2025-09-21 0.000094 0.000232 0.000483 0.000933 0.001666 0.002757 0.004440
2025-09-28 0.000077 0.000206 0.000455 0.000915 0.001688 0.002867 0.004716
2025-10-05 0.000067 0.000192 0.000444 0.000927 0.001757 0.003046 0.005099
2025-10-12 0.000059 0.000183 0.000441 0.000950 0.001845 0.003257 0.005537
2025-10-19 0.000051 0.000173 0.000444 0.000998 0.002002 0.003622 0.006283
2025-10-26 0.000042 0.000160 0.000439 0.001035 0.002149 0.003988 0.007066
2025-11-02 0.000035 0.000148 0.000431 0.001064 0.002282 0.004337 0.007835
2025-11-09 0.000024 0.000119 0.000381 0.001001 0.002241 0.004396 0.008145
2025-11-16 0.000017 0.000099 0.000344 0.000957 0.002230 0.004500 0.008530
2025-11-23 0.000012 0.000085 0.000322 0.000943 0.002273 0.004698 0.009076
2025-11-30 0.000009 0.000074 0.000303 0.000931 0.002318 0.004900 0.009635
2025-12-07 0.000007 0.000064 0.000282 0.000910 0.002343 0.005067 0.010140
2025-12-14 0.000005 0.000055 0.000263 0.000892 0.002370 0.005238 0.010657
2025-12-21 0.000003 0.000047 0.000246 0.000875 0.002398 0.005409 0.011182
2025-12-28 0.000003 0.000043 0.000240 0.000886 0.002487 0.005700 0.011927